Bayesian tools for security and threat analysis.
A detector that is right 90% of the time can still be wrong about most alerts. Work out what an alert is worth, who a leak points to, and which node holds a network together.
Questions these tools answer
- Given this alert, how likely is it real?
- Which recipient does a leaked document point to?
- Which explanation does the evidence favour, and how fragile is that?
- Which node would break this network apart if removed?
Instruments
- Diagnostic-Test Calculator
- Competing Hypotheses
- Canary Trap
- Key Player Removal
- Centrality Under Uncertainty
- Capture–Recapture Estimator
- Inter-Rater Reliability Audit
- Collection Planner
- Posting Time Estimator
- Poisson Rate Calculator
- Bayesian Risk Calculator
- Conjunction Calculator